Browns vs. Chiefs Analysis

It’s pretty ironic to think that the Kansas City Chiefs are the best team in the NFL, and yet they’ve struggled mightily to cover the spread. Kansas City finished the regular season with the best record in the NFL at 14-2, but they only covered seven of their 16 games this season. In fact, the Chiefs covered only one of their final eight games down the stretch when they went on the road to beat the Saints 32-29 in Week 15. That line actually closed anywhere from -2.5 to -3 so it ended being a push for some Chiefs’ backers.

Historically, the team that wins the game in the NFL usually covers the spread about 70% of the time in the NFL. Clearly, Kansas City never got that memo.

The Chiefs continue to find ways to win games, and as defending Super Bowl Champions, they’ve become a very public team. The interesting thing is that last week, bettors were fading the Cleveland Browns, but this week, they can’t get to the window fast enough to back them. And after being on the Chiefs bandwagon for so long throughout the season, they’ve decided that now is the appropriate time to jump off.

Don’t be surprised to see sharp bettors go in the opposite direction.

Kansas City is currently a consensus 10-point home favorite against the Browns in this divisional matchup.