June 12 MLB Betting Guide: A NL Central Mismatch

MLB Betting Guide for Saturday, June 12

Spend the afternoon with a full slate of MLB baseball action. With a 2:05 p.m. Eastern seven-inning doubleheader to the 10:10 p.m. west coast nightcap, the day’s excitement is guaranteed to keep you glued to the couch.

Look below to see which matchups you should target.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Game Info

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline, Total, and Odds

All MLB Betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline: Orioles +188| Rays -225

Spread: Rays -1.5

Total: 8 Over (-104) | Under (-118)

Odds to Win World Series: Orioles +30000 | Rays +1400

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Predictions and Picks

Rich Hill looks to be in midseason form and should add to his three-game win streak against the Orioles.

The Bet: Rays (-225)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays News and Analysis

Probables: Jorge Lopez (Orioles) vs. Rich Hill (Rays)

Projected Lineup

The Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays square off for the second game in this American League East showdown, with the Rays taking the first game 4-2 Friday.

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

Jorge Lopez takes the mound for the Orioles, making his 13th start of the season. He last pitched in an 18-5 win over the Cleveland Indians on June 6, going five innings, throwing 74 pitches, allowing three runs on four hits, striking out two batters. With a 2-6 record on the season, Lopez has a 5.30 ERA, 22% K rate, 1.43 WHIP and a 27.3% CSW rate.

Lopez uses a three-pitch mix of fastball (60%), curveball (23%) and changeup (12%). Look for the four-seam fastball as the go-to pitch for striking out batters. With a 30.5% K rate, the pitch is used 32% of the time in two-strike situations, resulting in a 28.6% CSW rate, 26.8% Whiff rate and a 47.7% PutAway rate.

The Rays should use Brandon Lowe, Randy Arozarena, Joey Wendle and Austin Meadows at the top of the order. The Rays have the seventh-lowest batting average in the league, hitting .230, with a 27.2% K rate, the second-highest in the majors.

Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

Rich Hill takes the mound for the Rays, making his 13th start of the season. The 17-year veteran last pitched in a 3-0 win against the Texas Rangers on June 5, going five innings, allowing two hits and striking out three batters, throwing 59 pitches. In his first meeting with the Orioles on May 20, a 10-1-win, Hill went six innings, allowing one run on two hits and striking out four batters. Quietly having a great start to the season, Hill is 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA, 25.8% K rate, 0.98 WHIP. Among pitchers who have thrown 50 or more innings, he ranks 20th in WHIP.

Hill uses a two-pitch mix of fastball (49%) and curveball (39%). Like Lopez, Hill prefers the four-seam fastball for striking out batters. With a 34.7% K rate, the pitch has a 40% CSW rate, 28.2% Whiff rate and a 57.6% PutAway rate.

The Orioles should use Cedric Mullins, Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Ryan Mountcastle at the top of the order. In addition, keep an eye on Freddy Galvis. Projected to bat sixth, Galvis has had the most success against Hill, going 3-for-12 in his career. The Orioles are hitting .240, the 12th-highest in the majors, with a 23.3% K rate, the eighth-lowest in the league.


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Info

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline, Total, and Odds

All MLB Betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline: Pirates +235| Brewers -290

Spread: Brewers -1.5

Total: 7.5 Over (-102) | Under (-120)

Odds to Win World Series: Pirates +30000 | Brewers +2200

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Predictions and Picks

With a dominant pitcher in Burnes throwing for a Brewers team who struggles at the plate, it appears that runs might be few and far between, setting up today’s matchup as a lower-scoring affair.

The Bet: Under (7.5)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers News and Analysis

Probables: Chad Kuhl (Pirates) vs. Corbin Burnes (Brewers)

Projected Lineup

In the second game of this storied National League Central matchup, the Brewers look to take a commanding 2-0 series lead against the Pirates after a 7-4-win Friday.

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

Chad Kuhl takes the mound, making his seventh start of the season, last pitching in a 3-1 loss to the Miami Marlins on June 6. He went six innings, throwing 82 pitches, allowing three runs on three hits, striking out two batters. In his first meeting against the Brewers, a 6-5 Pirates win on April 18, he recorded a no-decision, throwing 97 pitches in five innings of work, allowing three runs on five hits, striking out six batters. An 0-3 record to start the season, Kuhl has a 5.61 ERA, 17.8% K rate, 1.48 WHIP and a 28.5% CSW rate.

Kuhl has a three-pitch arsenal consisting of slider (43%), fastball (40%) and curveball (14%). Look for the slider to be the most effective at striking out batters. The pitch has a 23% K rate, used 35% of the time in two-strike situations, resulting in a 33% CSW rate, 35% Whiff rate and a 39% PutAway rate.

The Brewers will likely use Luis Urias, Dan Vogelbach, Christian Yelich and Avisail Garcia at the top of the order against Kuhl. Garcia has had the most success against Kuhl, going 3-for-4 in his career, with one home run. The Brewers are hitting .213, the second-lowest in the majors, with a .303 OBP and the third-highest K rate at 26.4%.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

Corbin Burnes makes his 11th start of the season today, last pitching in a 2-0 win against the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 6. He threw 106 pitches in seven innings of work, allowing four hits and striking out 13 batters. A dominant start to the season, Burnes has a 3-4 record with a 1.97 ERA, 42.2% K rate, 0.71 WHIP and a 36% CSW rate. Among starting pitchers who have thrown 50 or more innings, Burnes ranks second in K rate, WHIP and K/9 (14.26), only behind Jacob deGrom. In eight of his 10 starts, he has struck out nine or more batters.

Burnes uses a four-pitch mix of cutter (55%), curveball (13%), fastball (12%) and slider (11%). His cutter is one of the most effective pitches in the majors. With a 39.7% K rate, the pitch is used in 31.5% in two-strike situations, resulting in a 39% CSW rate, 33% Whiff rate and a 59% PutAway rate.

The Pirates will likely use Adam Frazier, Ke’Bryan Hayes, Bryan Reynolds and Colin Moran at the top of the order. Pittsburgh has the third-lowest batting average in the majors, hitting .225 with a 22.9% K rate, the seventh-lowest.