NHL Betting Guide for April 7th

You know it’s a good week in hockey when the five-game Wednesday night slate is the quietest of the week. Take note — the Edmonton Oilers and Ottawa Senators have a unique start time with puck drop scheduled for 5 pm ET. That leaves four regularly scheduled games, three of which start at 9 pm ET or later, to keep us entertained the rest of the night.

Here are the wagers were looking at from FanDuel Sportsbook!

Los Angeles Kings vs. Arizona Coyotes, Moneyline, Total, and Odds

Moneyline: Kings -126, Coyotes +108

Spread: Kings -1.5 (+215), Coyotes +1.5 (-265)

Total: o 5.5 +108

Odds to Stanley Cup: Kings +6500|Coyotes +6500

Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000!

Los Angeles Kings vs. Arizona Coyotes News, Analysis, and Picks

The Arizona Coyotes have used a 7-2-1 run over their last 10 games to climb into a playoff spot in the NHL West Division. But their advanced metrics suggest that their tenure may be short-lived.

The Coyotes have posted an expected goals-for percentage below 50.0% in three of their last five but have won four wins under their belts throughout that time. The disconnect between their output and production metrics is growing, suggesting that the Coyotes should be hit by regression sooner rather than later.

Arizona has equaled or over-achieved relative to expected output in seven straight games. The Desert Dogs have been scoring on 13.2% of their shots, despite decreasing production at five-on-five. 19 of Arizona’s 28 goals have come at five-on-five, which indicates a high reliance on special teams production. The Yotes can’t continue to be outplayed at five-on-five and come out victorious.

The Kings struggled through a rough 11-game patch in which they outplayed their opponents at five-on-five in just three games. The expected goals-for percentage they put up against the Yotes last time out was their highest since March 10 against the Anaheim Ducks. The Kings have decreased scoring chances against in each of the last three games and have allowed a cumulative 38 shots at five-on-five over their last two games. The Kings fell hard but are starting to pick themselves back up.

It’s the right time to buy the Kings. They are starting to improve their metrics and should be able to outplay a Coyotes team that will be working towards regression. Don’t pass up the short price on the home team.

The Bet: Kings -124

St. Louis Blues vs. Vegas Golden Knights, Moneyline, Total, and Odds

Moneyline: Blues +130, Golden Knights -154

Spread: Blues +1.5 (-210), Golden Knights -1.5 (+172)

Total: o 5.5 -118

Odds to Stanley Cup: Blues +6000|Golden Knights +750

Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000!

Los Angeles Kings vs. Arizona Coyotes News, Analysis, and Picks

The Vegas Golden Knights are among the best teams in the league, and they have been since they entered the league. They’ve had no problem asserting their dominance over their last few opponents, but the results haven’t gone their way as much as expected. We’re using their Wednesday night matchup against the St. Louis Blues to back the Knights.

Vegas’s recent game scores indicate that they have been outplaying their opponents on a nightly basis. They have held the advantage with possession metrics in four of five, out-shot three of their last five opponents, and created more scoring chances in all five matchups. As a result, they have posted an expected goals-for percentage above 50.0% in four of their last five games.

Their absolute metrics are even more impressive than their relative stats. The Golden Knights are averaging 13.4 high-danger chances and 34.6 scoring chances over the last five games. In a five-game span, in which we would expect the Knights to prevail in at least four of those games, they only have two wins. Vegas will start to win more.

St. Louis is heading in the opposite direction. They have posted expected goals-for percentages below 50.0% in four of their last five and haven’t managed more than 30 scoring chances or 11 high-danger chances in any of those games. On average, they are being held to 24.2 scoring opportunities and 9.2 chances from high-danger areas. The Blues outcomes reflect their efforts as they have lost all five of those games. Overall, the Blues have lost seven in a row and 12 of their last 14.

There’s a huge gap between the best in the West Division and the rest, and these teams find themselves on opposite sides of the divide. The implied probability of the Knights -154 moneyline 60.6% and doesn’t accurately reflect their chances tonight. We’re taking the Knights to build off their 6-1 victory from Monday and skate past the Blues.

The Bet: Golden Knights -154